diff --git a/document.aux b/document.aux index 16c48a2..eea5687 100644 --- a/document.aux +++ b/document.aux @@ -151,8 +151,11 @@ \abx@aux@cite{Adam} \abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{Adam} \abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{Adam} +\abx@aux@cite{RegularisationSc} +\abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{RegularisationSc} \abx@aux@cite{StudyNBC} \abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{StudyNBC} +\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsubsection}{\numberline {7.5.5}Regularisation}{29}{subsubsection.7.5.5}} \@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {7.6}Machine Learning}{29}{subsection.7.6}} \newlabel{machine}{{7.6}{29}{Machine Learning}{subsection.7.6}{}} \@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsubsection}{\numberline {7.6.1}Naive Bayes}{29}{subsubsection.7.6.1}} @@ -170,11 +173,11 @@ \abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{RMSEMAE} \abx@aux@cite{MSE} \abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{MSE} +\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {7.9}Addictive Smoothing}{31}{subsection.7.9}} +\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {7.10}Regression Performance Metrics}{31}{subsection.7.10}} \abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{RMSEMAE} \abx@aux@cite{MAPE} \abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{MAPE} -\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {7.9}Addictive Smoothing}{31}{subsection.7.9}} -\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {7.10}Regression Performance Metrics}{31}{subsection.7.10}} \abx@aux@cite{TweepyDoc} \abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{TweepyDoc} \abx@aux@segm{0}{0}{SearchTweets} @@ -280,8 +283,8 @@ \@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {14}Conclusion and Future Improvements}{82}{section.14}} \@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {14.1}Conclusion}{82}{subsection.14.1}} \@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {14.2}Future Improvements}{82}{subsection.14.2}} -\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {15}Appendices}{87}{section.15}} -\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {15.1}Appendix A - Project Initiation Document}{87}{subsection.15.1}} +\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {15}Appendices}{88}{section.15}} +\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {15.1}Appendix A - Project Initiation Document}{88}{subsection.15.1}} \abx@aux@refcontextdefaultsdone \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{SaTdpsmm}{none/global//global/global} \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{nlAeiBTCPSO}{none/global//global/global} @@ -315,6 +318,7 @@ \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{OptVariants}{none/global//global/global} \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{OverOpt}{none/global//global/global} \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{Adam}{none/global//global/global} +\abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{RegularisationSc}{none/global//global/global} \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{StudyNBC}{none/global//global/global} \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{TFIDFBOW}{none/global//global/global} \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{SpamCScratch}{none/global//global/global} @@ -329,4 +333,4 @@ \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{StemvsLem}{none/global//global/global} \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{NValgor}{none/global//global/global} \abx@aux@defaultrefcontext{0}{SpamOrHamGit}{none/global//global/global} -\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {15.2}Appendix B - Log book}{100}{subsection.15.2}} +\@writefile{toc}{\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax }\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {15.2}Appendix B - Log book}{101}{subsection.15.2}} diff --git a/document.bbl b/document.bbl index eeca792..919d67d 100644 --- a/document.bbl +++ b/document.bbl @@ -1093,6 +1093,35 @@ \verb https://arxiv.org/pdf/1412.6980.pdf \endverb \endentry + \entry{RegularisationSc}{inproceedings}{} + \name{author}{1}{}{% + {{hash=828de85c6a5e2b9df75d3cce6765238c}{% + family={AI}, + familyi={A\bibinitperiod}, + given={Missing\bibnamedelima Link}, + giveni={M\bibinitperiod\bibinitdelim L\bibinitperiod}}}% + } + \list{organization}{1}{% + {Missing Link AI}% + } + \strng{namehash}{828de85c6a5e2b9df75d3cce6765238c} + \strng{fullhash}{828de85c6a5e2b9df75d3cce6765238c} + \strng{bibnamehash}{828de85c6a5e2b9df75d3cce6765238c} + \strng{authorbibnamehash}{828de85c6a5e2b9df75d3cce6765238c} + \strng{authornamehash}{828de85c6a5e2b9df75d3cce6765238c} + \strng{authorfullhash}{828de85c6a5e2b9df75d3cce6765238c} + \field{sortinit}{5} + \field{sortinithash}{3c19c3776b658b3558e9e2e4840c01e2} + \field{labelnamesource}{author} + \field{labeltitlesource}{title} + \field{title}{Neural Network Bias: Bias Neuron, Overfitting and Underfitting} + \verb{urlraw} + \verb https://missinglink.ai/guides/neural-network-concepts/neural-network-bias-bias-neuron-overfitting-underfitting/ + \endverb + \verb{url} + \verb https://missinglink.ai/guides/neural-network-concepts/neural-network-bias-bias-neuron-overfitting-underfitting/ + \endverb + \endentry \entry{StudyNBC}{inproceedings}{} \true{moreauthor} \true{morelabelname} @@ -1346,8 +1375,8 @@ \strng{authorbibnamehash}{9fb73450a6ae06fd7652db34b9a3c981} \strng{authornamehash}{9fb73450a6ae06fd7652db34b9a3c981} \strng{authorfullhash}{9fb73450a6ae06fd7652db34b9a3c981} - \field{sortinit}{7} - \field{sortinithash}{c818dd9105a2852444fc9f5e145c294e} + \field{sortinit}{8} + \field{sortinithash}{07edf88d4ea82509b9c4b4d13f41c452} \field{labelnamesource}{author} \verb{urlraw} \verb http://api.bitcoincharts.com/v1/csv/ diff --git a/document.bcf b/document.bcf index 07dc988..623ce56 100644 --- a/document.bcf +++ b/document.bcf @@ -1978,39 +1978,40 @@ OverOpt Adam Adam - StudyNBC + RegularisationSc StudyNBC - TFIDFBOW + StudyNBC TFIDFBOW TFIDFBOW - SpamCScratch + TFIDFBOW SpamCScratch - RMSEMAE - MSE - RMSEMAE - MAPE - TweepyDoc - SearchTweets - ConStream - VADERPaper + SpamCScratch + RMSEMAE + MSE + RMSEMAE + MAPE + TweepyDoc + SearchTweets + ConStream VADERPaper VADERPaper - LexiconSocSent - LSTM - StPNSentA - LSTMforetime + VADERPaper + LexiconSocSent + LSTM + StPNSentA LSTMforetime - TFvsThe - VADERPaper - btcCharts - langdectNLTK + LSTMforetime + TFvsThe + VADERPaper + btcCharts langdectNLTK - LanNgram - StemvsLem + langdectNLTK + LanNgram StemvsLem - NValgor - SpamCScratch - SpamOrHamGit + StemvsLem + NValgor + SpamCScratch + SpamOrHamGit * diff --git a/document.blg b/document.blg index 32c4f34..a3e58b1 100644 --- a/document.blg +++ b/document.blg @@ -1,26 +1,26 @@ [0] Config.pm:302> INFO - This is Biber 2.9 [0] Config.pm:305> INFO - Logfile is 'document.blg' -[20] biber:313> INFO - === Sat Apr 27, 2019, 20:51:27 -[36] Biber.pm:371> INFO - Reading 'document.bcf' -[89] Biber.pm:854> INFO - Using all citekeys in bib section 0 -[99] Biber.pm:3981> INFO - Processing section 0 -[108] Biber.pm:4154> INFO - Looking for bibtex format file 'report.bib' for section 0 -[109] bibtex.pm:1468> INFO - LaTeX decoding ... -[150] bibtex.pm:1294> INFO - Found BibTeX data source 'report.bib' -[156] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Aug 2, 2017' in entry 'SpamOrHamGit' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. -[161] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Aug 2, 2017' in entry 'SpamCScratch' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. -[164] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Oct 16, 2018' in entry 'MSE' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. -[196] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Feb 26, 2018' in entry 'StemvsLem' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. -[208] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Sep 8, 2017' in entry 'MAPE' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. -[233] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Apr 7, 2018' in entry 'RMSEMAE' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. -[265] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Mar 13, 2016' in entry 'LSTMdia' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. -[291] Utils.pm:169> WARN - Name "Mairal, J., Ponce, J., Sapiro, G., Zisserman, A." has too many commas: skipping name -[299] Utils.pm:169> WARN - BibTeX subsystem: warning: comma(s) at end of name (removing) -[300] Utils.pm:169> WARN - BibTeX subsystem: author, warning: comma(s) at end of name (removing) -[323] UCollate.pm:68> INFO - Overriding locale 'en-US' defaults 'variable = shifted' with 'variable = non-ignorable' -[323] UCollate.pm:68> INFO - Overriding locale 'en-US' defaults 'normalization = NFD' with 'normalization = prenormalized' -[323] Biber.pm:3809> INFO - Sorting list 'none/global//global/global' of type 'entry' with template 'none' and locale 'en-US' -[323] Biber.pm:3815> INFO - No sort tailoring available for locale 'en-US' -[348] bbl.pm:617> INFO - Writing 'document.bbl' with encoding 'ascii' -[364] bbl.pm:720> INFO - Output to document.bbl -[364] Biber.pm:110> INFO - WARNINGS: 10 +[19] biber:313> INFO - === Sun Apr 28, 2019, 11:50:08 +[34] Biber.pm:371> INFO - Reading 'document.bcf' +[82] Biber.pm:854> INFO - Using all citekeys in bib section 0 +[92] Biber.pm:3981> INFO - Processing section 0 +[100] Biber.pm:4154> INFO - Looking for bibtex format file 'report.bib' for section 0 +[101] bibtex.pm:1468> INFO - LaTeX decoding ... +[140] bibtex.pm:1294> INFO - Found BibTeX data source 'report.bib' +[146] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Oct 16, 2018' in entry 'MSE' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. +[182] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Aug 2, 2017' in entry 'SpamOrHamGit' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. +[185] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Sep 8, 2017' in entry 'MAPE' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. +[199] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Aug 2, 2017' in entry 'SpamCScratch' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. +[206] Utils.pm:169> WARN - Name "Mairal, J., Ponce, J., Sapiro, G., Zisserman, A." has too many commas: skipping name +[237] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Feb 26, 2018' in entry 'StemvsLem' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. +[246] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Apr 7, 2018' in entry 'RMSEMAE' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. +[250] Utils.pm:169> WARN - year field 'Mar 13, 2016' in entry 'LSTMdia' is not an integer - this will probably not sort properly. +[280] Utils.pm:169> WARN - BibTeX subsystem: warning: comma(s) at end of name (removing) +[280] Utils.pm:169> WARN - BibTeX subsystem: author, warning: comma(s) at end of name (removing) +[304] UCollate.pm:68> INFO - Overriding locale 'en-US' defaults 'normalization = NFD' with 'normalization = prenormalized' +[304] UCollate.pm:68> INFO - Overriding locale 'en-US' defaults 'variable = shifted' with 'variable = non-ignorable' +[304] Biber.pm:3809> INFO - Sorting list 'none/global//global/global' of type 'entry' with template 'none' and locale 'en-US' +[304] Biber.pm:3815> INFO - No sort tailoring available for locale 'en-US' +[326] bbl.pm:617> INFO - Writing 'document.bbl' with encoding 'ascii' +[342] bbl.pm:720> INFO - Output to document.bbl +[342] Biber.pm:110> INFO - WARNINGS: 10 diff --git a/document.log b/document.log index 46f88c1..4360c4d 100644 --- a/document.log +++ b/document.log @@ -1,4 +1,4 @@ -This is pdfTeX, Version 3.14159265-2.6-1.40.18 (TeX Live 2017/Debian) (preloaded format=pdflatex 2018.10.16) 28 APR 2019 01:42 +This is pdfTeX, Version 3.14159265-2.6-1.40.18 (TeX Live 2017/Debian) (preloaded format=pdflatex 2018.10.16) 28 APR 2019 11:50 entering extended mode restricted \write18 enabled. %&-line parsing enabled. @@ -979,7 +979,7 @@ LaTeX Info: Redefining \nameref on input line 108. \@outlinefile=\write5 \openout5 = `document.out'. - 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Cryp-tog-ra-phy, ``A tu-to-rial on au-to-matic lan-guage id en-ti-fi-ca-tion - ngram based,'' [] -[86] +[86] [87] pdfTeX warning: /usr/bin/pdflatex (file ./PID.pdf): PDF inclusion: found PDF ve rsion <1.7>, but at most version <1.5> allowed - + File: PID.pdf Graphic file (type pdf) -Package pdftex.def Info: PID.pdf used on input line 1796. +Package pdftex.def Info: PID.pdf used on input line 1799. (pdftex.def) Requested size: 597.551pt x 845.07512pt. @@ -1265,7 +1265,7 @@ pdfTeX warning: /usr/bin/pdflatex (file ./PID.pdf): PDF inclusion: found PDF ve rsion <1.7>, but at most version <1.5> allowed File: PID.pdf Graphic file (type pdf) -Package pdftex.def Info: PID.pdf used on input line 1796. +Package pdftex.def Info: PID.pdf used on input line 1799. 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\subsubsection{Regularisation} + To avoid issues such as overfitting of a neural networks model, techniques such as regularisation to produce better predictive performance and to improve variance of the model created. \cite{RegularisationSc} + \subsection{Machine Learning}\label{machine} \subsubsection{Naive Bayes} To get an understanding of both how probability works and how a neural network will predict the next hour value based on the concepts of probability, using a well-established probability algorithm will aid in this understanding. @@ -1398,7 +1401,7 @@ def create_sets(self, data, lookback, sentiment): \subsubsection{Training and Testing Model} - The neural network is set up with four layers each of which configured with 100 LSTM cells, with a dropout of 0.2 each, and returning sequences to each other layer. A dropout was used to ensure that the data would not be overfitted, by setting the dropout to 0.2 probability, 80\% of the data on each layer is retained for the next layer. Return sequences allows for the returning of the hidden state output for each time step and ensures the next LSTM layer has 2 inputs that carry over from the previous layer, which are the old weights and value outputs from the previous layer. + The neural network is set up with four layers each of which configured with 100 LSTM cells, with a regularisation (dropout) of 0.2 each, and returning sequences to each other layer. A dropout was used to ensure that the data would not be overfitted, by setting the dropout to 0.2 probability, 80\% of the data on each layer is retained for the next layer. Return sequences allows for the returning of the hidden state output for each time step and ensures the next LSTM layer has 2 inputs that carry over from the previous layer, which are the old weights and value outputs from the previous layer. \begin{lstlisting}[language=python, caption=LSTM model creation\, layering\, compiling and fitting] self.model = Sequential() diff --git a/document.toc b/document.toc index 7ff54fa..8b00629 100644 --- a/document.toc +++ b/document.toc @@ -54,6 +54,8 @@ \defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax \contentsline {subsubsection}{\numberline {7.5.4}Optimisers}{27}{subsubsection.7.5.4} \defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax +\contentsline {subsubsection}{\numberline {7.5.5}Regularisation}{29}{subsubsection.7.5.5} +\defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax \contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {7.6}Machine Learning}{29}{subsection.7.6} \defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax \contentsline {subsubsection}{\numberline {7.6.1}Naive Bayes}{29}{subsubsection.7.6.1} @@ -164,8 +166,8 @@ \defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax \contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {14.2}Future Improvements}{82}{subsection.14.2} \defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax -\contentsline {section}{\numberline {15}Appendices}{87}{section.15} +\contentsline {section}{\numberline {15}Appendices}{88}{section.15} \defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {15.1}Appendix A - Project Initiation Document}{87}{subsection.15.1} +\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {15.1}Appendix A - Project Initiation Document}{88}{subsection.15.1} \defcounter {refsection}{0}\relax -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {15.2}Appendix B - Log book}{100}{subsection.15.2} +\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {15.2}Appendix B - Log book}{101}{subsection.15.2} diff --git a/report.bib b/report.bib index cf49721..b0b9f74 100644 --- a/report.bib +++ b/report.bib @@ -410,6 +410,16 @@ url={https://blog.bitext.com/what-is-the-difference-between-stemming-and-lemmatization/} } +@inproceedings{RegularisationSc, + title={Neural Network Bias: Bias Neuron, Overfitting and Underfitting}, + author={Missing Link AI}, + booktitle={}, + pages={}, + year={}, + organization={Missing Link AI}, + url={https://missinglink.ai/guides/neural-network-concepts/neural-network-bias-bias-neuron-overfitting-underfitting/} +} + @inproceedings{NValgor, title={Naive Bayes}, author={scikit-learn developers},